Trump Wins!

In a truly stunning victory over Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump has secured the electoral votes needed to be our next President. In perhaps the greatest upset in modern political history, Donald Trump won by securing votes from millions of disaffected Americans all over the country. Defying literally every odd imaginable, the pollsters were wrong, the media was wrong, Nate Silver was wrong (again), and the entire country (or most of it) was wrong. It’s probably time for Obama, the Clintons, and all their media lapdogs to crawl under a rock for four years. It’s time for Amy Schumer, Miley Cyrus and Jon Stewart to leave the country, forever.

Donald Trump was right – again. Oh, and the team behind the USC/LA Times poll was spot on – again. Oh, and we were right. We said Trump would win back in February. We even wrote another piece explaining what would happen after he won back in May.

Not only did he win, but he won in a landslide victory.

This isn’t just a win for Donald Trump, it’s a win for putting an end to media bias, it’s a win for the forgotten, and it’s a win for truth over fiction. The American people have spoken, this election was a referendum on the last eight years of failure under Obama, and it’s time for real change. Drain the swamp!

End Obamacare! Lower taxes! End the corruption in Washington and in the media! Stop the bigotry and hate and divisiveness on the left! Bring back our jobs and secure our border! Donald will unite the country and keep us safe.

Let’s make America great again!

For your enjoyment, here is our projection of the final map for 2016:

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Trump Crushes Hillary in Second Debate

Other than a few liberal media holdouts, it’s nearly unanimous, Donald Trump annihilated Hillary Clinton in the second presidential debate. He started the evening with his tail between his legs over the video scandal, and he had to debate two biased moderators as well, yet somehow Trump was still able to deliver a crushing blow to Hillary Clinton.

The reason why is obvious. Trump had his swagger and his confidence, and more importantly, he had his facts. Trump came in guns blazing and kept Hillary on her heels all evening. When a vast majority of undecided voters find you disingenuous and tired in Frank Luntz’s audience poll – you’re in trouble.

The problem Hillary faces is much bigger than any video from Donald Trump’s past. Primarily, she looks like a tired, lying politician next to Donald. Meanwhile, he comes across as fiery, new, brash, and most importantly, honest. The electorate this year is looking for honesty, not fake, typical political spin. This represents a crisis for Hillary, as she is the prototypical insider, a master of spin, and a serial liar.

If nothing else, Donald’s performance in this debate solidifies he’s still in this thing for the long haul. Maybe it’s time we start calling him, “the indelible Donald Trump.” Don’t take our word for it, vote in our “junk poll” as the worst stats guy ever, Nate Silver, would say:

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Trump Tops Clinton in New Polling Average

Donald Trump is beating Hillary Clinton in the latest polling average according to The State’s official calculation. Unlike the RCP average, The State’s average eliminates polls taken significantly prior to the Republican National Convention. As expected, Trump is enjoying a substantial bump after a week of fiery convention speeches.

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Conventions often lead to poll bumps, but Trump’s acceptance speech in particular may have changed the course of this election. A CNN viewer poll taken shortly after Trump spoke showed a hugely positive audience response with 75% of all viewers giving favorable marks. Additionally, 73% of CNN viewers said Trump’s policies would lead the country in the right direction. Viewers clearly liked what Trump said despite overwhelmingly negative commentary from CNN contributors. This disconnect between commentators and viewers comes as no surprise – audiences have been rejecting bias in news as of late – both on the right and on the left.

CNN, NBC, CBS, MSNBC and CNBC have all suffered recently as more and more viewers reject their overwhelmingly biased commentary. Fox News isn’t immune either, as audiences earlier this year rejected Fox’s apparent dislike of Donald Trump – eventually forcing the network to embrace the candidate.

Pundits are suggesting the Democratic National Convention next week will reverse these poll results. However, our analysis shows Trump has made significant gains, and we expect Hillary’s convention will be unremarkable and particularly boring. While Trump has embraced the exciting, unpredictable and bold, Hillary has decidedly taken the reserved and pompous approach to her pandering rhetoric.

It is unlikely 2016 audiences will respond well to a convention run by a clearly corrupt DNC – brought to light by the timely Wikileaks email release. Perhaps Pablo will be there, providing us with something interesting to look at. With insiders and career politicians looking to spark some hint of excitement among the general population, the DNC will be lucky if Hillary gains back even one point against Trump.

Less intelligent observers will suggest polling doesn’t matter at all during conventions. That’s like saying pool temperature doesn’t matter when going for a swim. Enjoy your ice cold dip – maybe it’ll help you wake up to reality.

Monday, July 25th Update

Looks like the RCP average caught up to speed as their new figure matches The State’s average exactly with the latest polls added:

 

 

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